Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 351.544867 398.382143 450.354496 512.515791 585.119993 667.573207 768.770866
2025-10-05 289.856461 353.549706 430.728594 532.049846 662.914195 828.093602 1055.335374
2025-10-12 258.539952 331.298575 424.890787 555.991530 737.930000 986.100480 1358.360673
2025-10-19 229.494429 305.445901 407.780612 558.663841 780.528449 1103.099773 1623.574878
2025-10-26 202.101688 277.260814 382.376513 543.981532 793.292069 1175.820786 1833.085202
2025-11-02 181.563326 255.749407 362.954792 534.010714 809.546253 1253.634016 2062.661201
2025-11-09 170.955034 247.125991 360.811156 549.059438 865.819404 1402.779969 2442.693688
2025-11-16 158.086329 233.576745 349.376753 547.326842 893.281055 1506.382056 2760.657159
2025-11-23 145.937086 219.845513 336.019189 540.369205 910.018657 1592.440378 3061.917456
2025-11-30 137.323734 210.824873 329.158843 543.287516 944.196288 1715.588261 3466.507159
2025-12-07 127.307132 198.606735 315.758316 532.957141 951.914838 1787.756796 3775.889534
2025-12-14 119.515066 189.392540 306.521995 528.947416 970.908635 1885.362737 4166.950910
2025-12-21 109.093199 175.097916 287.557172 505.371573 948.964165 1895.258192 4354.111043
2025-12-28 106.094748 173.323688 290.499892 523.814357 1015.804804 2112.142597 5133.591495
2026-01-04 104.010245 172.928427 295.800457 547.356976 1096.911094 2377.755078 6132.312529
2026-01-11 99.268274 167.379099 291.040727 549.977949 1132.237529 2540.618168 6888.830894
2026-01-18 92.814454 158.233848 278.724052 535.565464 1126.600232 2599.660329 7344.774006
2026-01-25 87.477461 150.785316 269.070061 525.777043 1130.467934 2684.351634 7914.489693
2026-02-01 85.357920 149.207519 270.708809 540.550234 1195.710234 2947.996464 9200.206188
2026-02-08 81.601353 144.240720 265.195037 538.849432 1219.759331 3101.548577 10149.699954
2026-02-15 77.603811 138.543623 257.762843 532.019286 1229.717797 3216.363802 10998.782392
2026-02-22 74.850011 135.097141 254.673605 534.884159 1265.610789 3417.615055 12292.136798
2026-03-01 71.068268 129.376294 246.423674 524.742707 1264.975272 3504.702722 13134.988399